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Variable
(from more to less predictive)
Unemployment
Significantly predictive of enrollment, though more turbulent
Admissions Applications
Predict enrollment pretty closely and remain just slightly higher than enrollment.
COMPASS Testing
Somewhat predictive of enrollment, but not closely. Enrollment remains higher and steadier
Inquiries
Not closely related to enrollment until Spring 2010, at which point they appear to mirror enrollment Personnel changes around 2008-09 might have changed tracking methods Need to standardize tracking of inquiries
Waitlisted Students
Mirrors enrollment pretty closely, although more turbulent. If anything, seems reactive, rather than predictive, to enrollment
Advising Traffic
Seems unrelated to enrollment. Remains significantly higher than enrollment most of the time.
Outreach Events
Hard to tell because tracking of outreach events has been too inconsistent
Relationship to Enrollment
Naturally, more Lack of advising Personnel changes peaks in fall, more enforcement between 2008-10, ??? valleys in summer. around 2006-07, decrease in number However, a major more around of outreach events surge in waitlisted 2008. Hard to students in Fall enroll now w/o 2011, but not in seeing advisor enrollment. Why? Encourage Keeping it Continue to offer Ensure optimal Track orientation Track outreach inquiring free of cost optimal financial aid offerings of attendance to events more students to fill might awards to students commonly examine future consistently, and Action Step #1 out entire encourage and promote waitlisted courses, relationship to attempt to track admission app. more scholarships and try to pull as enrollment inquiries/attendance students to many students from at them test here waitlist as possible Implement heavier Follow up w/ Follow up Need to Disaggregate types Perhaps more Continue to send Research best marketing students after w/ students make sure of aid awarded, if online offerings of students evals avenues for strategies prior to application after they follow-up not already done. commonly after all advising recruiting students Action Step #2 the anticipated submitted test to inquiries waitlisted courses sessions; perhaps (i.e. whats the yield). start of lower is occurring to boost enrollment more follow-up May need to record unemployment w/o overloading for prospective more student info/do periods. space and personnel students more follow-up Note: These variables were chosen based on what LWIT, peer institutions, and professional organizations commonly examine to predict enrollment trends. Contextual Information Informing Relationship
Would be helpful to see longer range of trends, but enrollment data not tracked earlier than 2001. Implicit relationship does match expectation. Appoint someone to track unemployment vs. enrollment rates on regular basis to monitor trends.
Students may apply in order to take COMPASS/get advised, but never enroll
Financial aid awarded to students intending to enroll. Probably tied closely to unemployment, as is enrollment
August 2012
August 2012
August 2012
10
0 A121 A122 A123 A124 A231 A232 A233 A234 A341 A342 A343 A344 A451 A452 A453 A454 A561 A562 A563 A564 A671 A672 A673 A674 A781 A782 A783 A784 A891 A892 A893 A894 A901 A902 A903 A904 B011 B012 B013 B014 B121 B122 B123 B124
Unemployment
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0 A121 A122 A123 A124 A231 A232 A233 A234 A341 A342 A343 A344 A451 A452 A453 A454 A561 A562 A563 A564 A671 A672 A673 A674 A781 A782 A783 A784 A891 A892 A893 A894 A901 A902 A903 A904 B011 B012 B013 B014 B121 B122 B123 B124 aFTE Admissions Apps.
1000
800
600
400
200
0 B011 B012 B013 B014 B121 B122 B123 A562 A563 A564 A671 A672 A673 A674 A781 A782 A783 A784 A891 A892 A893 A894 A901 A902 A903 A904 B124
aFTE
COMPASS
August 2012
2000
1500
1000
500
0 A121 A122 A123 A124 A231 A232 A233 A234 A341 A342 A343 A344 A451 A452 A453 A454 A561 A562 A563 A564 A671 A672 A673 A674 A781 A782 A783 A784 A891 A892 A893 A894 A901 A902 A903 A904 B011 B012 B013 B014 B121 B122 B123 B124 aFTE Inquiries
August 2012
1000
800
600
400
200
Note: Financial aid data prior to A781 not provided. Yearly amounts broken up evenly between quarters.
August 2012
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
August 2012
10
aFTE
Advising Traffic
1000
800
600
400
200
0 A562 A563 A564 A671 A672 A673 A674 A781 A782 A783 A784 A891 A892 A893 A894 A901 A902 A903 A904 B011 B012 B013 B014 B121 B122 B123 B124 aFTE Outreach Events