Country Name

Angola
Argentina
Austria
Australia
Belarus
Canada
Estonia
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Iceland
Italy
Lebanon
Latvia
Moldova
Portugal
Romania
Japan
Malta
Total

Imports of goods and

Exports
services
of goods
(current
and
GDPUS$)
services
(current(current
US$) US$)
45182859448
67791526172
1.04332E+11
87118892744
97342121707
4.46044E+11
2.25409E+11
2.39282E+11
4.17656E+11
2.72779E+11
2.9365E+11
1.37938E+12
49617547739
48456643216
55132080402
5.62358E+11
5.41063E+11
1.73605E+12
19400000000
20273611111
22154722222
1.08808E+11
1.07049E+11
2.63011E+11
8.2541E+11
7.47488E+11
2.77303E+12
1.62382E+12
1.80668E+12
3.60083E+12
95998406256
72565939607
2.89627E+11
7122321161
8319846476
14026172280
6.65255E+11
6.32726E+11
2.19397E+12
20220072659
9520118270
40094328358
17848692217
16758174890
28252498853
6036012810
3151378133
7000325747
93328888889
84289305556
2.37374E+11
52245720003
40152135120
1.79794E+11
9.46934E+11
8.93041E+11
5.86715E+12
8269391159
8707395051
8886572143
5.73316E+12
5.73831E+12
1.96638E+13

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.933195884
R Square
0.870854558
Adjusted R Square
0.855660977
Standard Error 5.9184E+11
Observations
20
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

2
17
19

SS
MS
4.01536E+25 2.01E+25
5.95468E+24 3.5E+23
4.61083E+25

Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat
Intercept
-63377303878
1.64541E+11 -0.38518
Imports of goods14.9038168
and services (current
3.128469624
US$)
4.763932
Exports of goods
-11.24279782
and services (current
2.98210069
US$)
-3.77009

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
Predicted GDP (current US$)Residuals
1
-1.52147E+11
2.56478E+11
2
1.40629E+11
3.05415E+11
3
6.05869E+11
-1.88213E+11
4
7.00632E+11
6.7875E+11
5
1.31325E+11
-76193214634
6
2.23484E+12
-4.98789E+11
7
-2175368737
24330090959
8
3.54756E+11
-91745159819
9
3.83453E+12
-1.0615E+12
10
3.82559E+12
-2.24753E+11
11
5.51521E+11
-2.61894E+11
12 -50765885918
64792058198
13
2.73785E+12
-5.43875E+11
14
1.30946E+11
-90851861449
15
14227562945
14024935908
16
-8847981952
15848307699
17
3.79932E+11
-1.42558E+11
18
2.63861E+11
-84067486159
19
4.00927E+12
1.85788E+12
20 -38027295084
46913867227

F
Significance F
57.31726669 2.78E-08

P-value
Lower 95% Upper 95%
0.704884313 -4.1E+11 2.84E+11
0.000180082 8.303323 21.50431
0.001526836 -17.5345 -4.95112

Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-4.1E+11 2.84E+11
8.303323 21.50431
-17.5345 -4.95112

Residuals
2.56478E+11
3.05415E+11
-1.88213E+11
6.7875E+11
-76193214634
-4.98789E+11
24330090959
-91745159819
-1.0615E+12
-2.24753E+11
-2.61894E+11
64792058198
-5.43875E+11
-90851861449
14024935908
15848307699
-1.42558E+11
-84067486159
1.85788E+12
46913867227
TOTAL

et-et-1

(et-et-1)^2

0
4.8937E+10
-4.9363E+11
8.6696E+11
-7.5494E+11
-4.226E+11
5.2312E+11
-1.1608E+11
-9.6975E+11
8.3674E+11
-3.7141E+10
3.2669E+11
-6.0867E+11
4.5302E+11
1.0488E+11
1823371791
-1.5841E+11
5.8491E+10
1.9419E+12
-1.811E+12

0
2.39482E+21
2.43668E+23
7.51625E+23
5.6994E+23
1.78587E+23
2.73653E+23
1.34735E+22
9.40415E+23
7.00138E+23
1.37946E+21
1.06724E+23
3.70475E+23
2.0523E+23
1.09991E+22
3.32468E+18
2.50926E+22
3.42116E+21
3.77116E+24
3.2796E+24
1.1448E+25

d=
di=
ds=
4-ds=
ds<d<4-ds

et^2
6.57811E+22
9.32785E+22
3.5424E+22
4.60702E+23
5.80541E+21
2.4879E+23
5.91953E+20
8.41717E+21
1.12677E+24
5.05138E+22
6.85884E+22
4.19801E+21
2.958E+23
8.25406E+21
1.96699E+20
2.51169E+20
2.03228E+22
7.06734E+21
3.45172E+24
2.20091E+21
5.95468E+24

1.922519864
0.86
1.27
2.73
,=>

Nu exista autocorelatie in intervalul 1,27 si 2,73

Imports of goods andExports

services
of (current
goods and
US$)
services
Residuals
(current US$)e
45182859448
67791526172
2.56478E+11 2.56478E+11
87118892744
97342121707
3.05415E+11 3.05415E+11
2.25409E+11
2.39282E+11
-1.88213E+11 1.88213E+11
2.72779E+11
2.9365E+11
6.7875E+11 6.7875E+11
49617547739
48456643216
-76193214634 76193214634
5.62358E+11
5.41063E+11
-4.98789E+11 4.98789E+11
19400000000
20273611111
24330090959 24330090959
1.08808E+11
1.07049E+11
-91745159819 91745159819
8.2541E+11
7.47488E+11
-1.0615E+12 1.0615E+12
1.62382E+12
1.80668E+12
-2.24753E+11 2.24753E+11
95998406256
72565939607
-2.61894E+11 2.61894E+11
7122321161
8319846476
64792058198 64792058198
6.65255E+11
6.32726E+11
-5.43875E+11 5.43875E+11
20220072659
9520118270
-90851861449 90851861449
17848692217
16758174890
14024935908 14024935908
6036012810
3151378133
15848307699 15848307699
93328888889
84289305556
-1.42558E+11 1.42558E+11
52245720003
40152135120
-84067486159 84067486159
9.46934E+11
8.93041E+11
1.85788E+12 1.85788E+12
8269391159
8707395051
46913867227 46913867227
5.73316E+12
5.73831E+12
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.857097772
R Square
0.734616591
Adjusted R Square
0.703395014
Standard Error
2.44307E+11
Observations
20
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

2
17
19

SS
MS
2.80871E+24 1.40436E+24
1.01466E+24 5.96858E+22
3.82337E+24

Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat
Intercept
77700620981
67921367025 1.143979051
Imports of goods and services 7.151896156
(current US$)
1.291406412 5.538067715
Exports of goods and services-6.278527221
(current US$)
1.230986525 -5.10040288

F
Significance F
23.52913116 1.27E-05

P-value
Lower 95%
0.268485511 -6.6E+10
3.61311E-05 4.427267
8.88637E-05 -8.87568

p-value < 0.05 => model he

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

Predicted e
-24787202639
89600734220
1.87459E+11
1.84903E+11
1.28324E+11
7.02547E+11
89158987178
1.83779E+11
1.28782E+12
3.47796E+11
3.08664E+11
76402339740
8.62945E+11
1.6254E+11
1.00136E+11
1.01084E+11
2.15966E+11
1.9926E+11
1.24309E+12
82172830972

Residuals
2.81265E+11
2.15814E+11
753575631.7
4.93848E+11
-52130601818
-2.03758E+11
-64828896219
-92033743228
-2.2633E+11
-1.23043E+11
-46770220835
-11610281542
-3.1907E+11
-71688297748
-86111021107
-85235236703
-73408316770
-1.15193E+11
6.14789E+11
-35258963745

ignificance F

Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
2.21E+11 -6.6E+10 2.21E+11
9.876526 4.427267 9.876526
-3.68137 -8.87568 -3.68137

p-value < 0.05 => model heteroscedastic

Country Name
Angola
Argentina
Austria
Australia
Belarus
Canada
Estonia
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Iceland
Italy
Lebanon
Latvia
Moldova
Portugal
Romania
Japan
Malta
Total

Imports of goodsExports
and services
of goods
(current
GDP
and services
(current
US$) (current
US$) Residuals
US$)
45182859448 67791526172
1.04332E+11
2.56478E+11
87118892744 97342121707
4.46044E+11
3.05415E+11
2.25409E+11
2.39282E+11
4.17656E+11
-1.88213E+11
2.72779E+11
2.9365E+11
1.37938E+12
6.7875E+11
49617547739 48456643216 55132080402 -76193214634
5.62358E+11
5.41063E+11
1.73605E+12
-4.98789E+11
19400000000 20273611111 22154722222
24330090959
1.08808E+11
1.07049E+11
2.63011E+11 -91745159819
8.2541E+11
7.47488E+11
2.77303E+12
-1.0615E+12
1.62382E+12
1.80668E+12
3.60083E+12
-2.24753E+11
95998406256 72565939607
2.89627E+11
-2.61894E+11
7122321161
8319846476 14026172280
64792058198
6.65255E+11
6.32726E+11
2.19397E+12
-5.43875E+11
20220072659
9520118270 40094328358 -90851861449
17848692217 16758174890 28252498853
14024935908
6036012810
3151378133
7000325747
15848307699
93328888889 84289305556
2.37374E+11
-1.42558E+11
52245720003 40152135120
1.79794E+11 -84067486159
9.46934E+11
8.93041E+11
5.86715E+12
1.85788E+12
8269391159
8707395051
8886572143
46913867227
5.73316E+12
5.73831E+12
1.96638E+13
-0.010345459

SUM(et^4)/T=
(SUM e teoretic^2/T)^2 =
K=
T/6
(K-3)^2=
[(K-3)^2]/4=
(SUM e teoretic^3/T)^2 =
(SUM e teoretic^2/T)^3 =
S^2=

6.78391E+47
8.86454E+46
7.652864644
3.333333333
21.64914939
5.412287348
6.88765E+70
2.63927E+70
2.609678975

JB=
Valoarea critica=

26.73988775
5.991464547

JB>Valoarea critica => respingem ipoteza nula

e^2
6.57811E+22
9.32785E+22
3.5424E+22
4.60702E+23
5.80541E+21
2.4879E+23
5.91953E+20
8.41717E+21
1.12677E+24
5.05138E+22
6.85884E+22
4.19801E+21
2.958E+23
8.25406E+21
1.96699E+20
2.51169E+20
2.03228E+22
7.06734E+21
3.45172E+24
2.20091E+21
5.95468E+24

espingem ipoteza nula

e^3
e^4
1.68714E+34 4.32715E+45
2.84887E+34 8.70087E+45
-6.66724E+33 1.25486E+45
3.12702E+35 2.12246E+47
-4.42333E+32 3.37027E+43
-1.24094E+35 6.18966E+46
1.44023E+31 3.50409E+41
-7.72235E+32 7.08488E+43
-1.19606E+36 1.26961E+48
-1.13531E+34 2.55164E+45
-1.79629E+34 4.70436E+45
2.71998E+32 1.76233E+43
-1.60878E+35 8.74976E+46
-7.49897E+32 6.81295E+43
2.75869E+30 3.86904E+40
3.9806E+30 6.30858E+40
-2.89718E+33 4.13017E+44
-5.94134E+32 4.99473E+43
6.41288E+36 1.19144E+49
1.03253E+32 4.84401E+42
5.24887E+36 1.35678E+49