NPR

How Biden Won: Ramping Up The Base And Expanding Margins In The Suburbs

Remarkably few counties shifted in the 2020 election, which saw sky-high turnout. The president's base voted in big numbers in rural areas, but Biden's gains in the suburbs propelled him to victory.
Source: Sean McMinn

There was a debate in the runup to this year's presidential election about whether it'd be a base election or a persuasion one. In other words, what would matter more for a candidate — turning out one side's core voters, or winning over undecideds and wavering supporters of President Trump?

Based on an NPR analysis of the more than 3,000 counties across the country, it was, in fact, mostly a base election with some key persuasion in Democratic-leaning suburbs that went for Joe Biden by wider margins than for Hillary Clinton in 2016.

In 2020, there have been far fewer counties that flipped from one major party to the other, as compared

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